Tuesday, October 20, 2009
by Richard Waystack
Are we at the bottom yet? As a local Realtor, I get asked that question a lot lately, from Buyers, waiting on the sidelines to buy, and from Sellers, questioning whether this is the time to list. Depending on who you listen to, the answer varies. I do know one thing for certain, if you price a house properly, stage it with some curb appeal outside, and clean and neat inside, you will sell.
In an article posted today by Les Christie of CNNMoney.com, FISERV, a financial information and analysis firm, the national median home price is predicted to drop by 11.3% by June 30, 2010. Christie reports that the chief economist with Moody'sEconomy.com, Mark Zandi, agreed with FISEV's assessments. "I think more price declines are coming because the foreclosure crisis is not over".
This opinion is at odss with the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index which indicated the most housing markets may have already stablilized because the composite index of 20 cities rose in May, June and July, stating that home prices have gained 3.6%
Metrostudy chief economist, Brad Hunter, which provides housing market data to the real estate industry feels that Case-Shiller may be just a temporary reprieve due to the estimated 1.8 million home buyers who benefited from the first time home buyers tax credit, providing a temporary boost to home sales.
On Cape Cod, Cape & Business magazine, a staff economic forecast predicts that prices will fall through the first half of 2010, followed by flat prices through 2011, after which prices should begin rising, appreciating about 5% in 2012.
Banker & Tradesman, a Massachusetts real estate data research company shows that in my town of Harwich on Cape Cod, sales are down 12% in 2009, with 152 home sales through September, down from 173 in the same time frame in 2008. Median sales price is down 10% over 2008, from $360,000 to $324,900. There is one bright spot in 2009, the median price in January was $328,750, a scant 1% drop to September.
Bottom line remains the same. There have been 152 home sales this year in Harwich, and in many communities on Cape Cod. Well priced, well staged homes do and will continue to sell!